U.S. natural gas futures fell about 5% to a 10-week low as forecasts pointed to mild weather and less heating demand over the next two weeks. The February contract dropped 17.8 cents to $3.345/mmBtu.
Waha cash prices in West Texas turned negative as pipeline constraints trapped gas in the Permian.
Reduced heating demand and record output pressure Henry Hub prices, while Permian pipeline limits keep regional prices depressed. The combined effect weighs on the benchmark gas price.
After 104 past bearish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median -7.8% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -14.8% to -0.8%), and -3.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Futures fell about 5% to a 10-week low on Jan 6 as mild two-week forecasts cut heating demand, directly driving the end of the 5-day decline.