
Soybeans extended a rally on hopes of continued Chinese buying under a trade agreement, with China purchasing 430,000 tonnes of US beans last week. December soybean meal rallied $52 per ton over 14 sessions, the largest advance in two years, while Brazilian bean prices weakened after China bought Brazilian cargoes below US levels.
Chinese purchases support US soybean and meal prices, while cheaper Brazilian beans and a closed US meal export window limit upside and shift export demand toward soybean oil.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.