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ADM Investor Services' weekly wrap reports soybeans rising on strong export sales and Brazil's worst drought since 1981, with planting delays possible in Mato Grosso. China opened an anti-dumping probe into Canadian canola in retaliation for Canada's EV tariffs, pressuring soybean oil and modestly supporting soymeal.
December corn closed firm on export demand and Midwest dryness.
Brazilian drought threatens soybean supply and can lift meal prices, while China's canola probe may shift demand toward US soymeal and oil. Tight export demand and dryness support corn.
admis.comADMIS Research TeamSep 3, 2024After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 152 past bearish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
