Fewer feeder cattle from Mexico would mean tighter US supply and dearer beef, FAPRI finds

After 268 past bullish report events, LCATTLE moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.

• Jan 23, 2026Cattle-on-Feed Report Shows Tighter Supply Ahead - RFD+1.1%
• Dec 19, 2019Cattle and beef: Where to from here?+0.9%
• Jul 20, 2026USDA Outlook Highlights Tight Cattle Supplies and Strong Beef Prices-1.4%
• Jul 27, 2021Fed cattle show strength, beef supply declines – Delco Times-0.2%
• Jul 28, 2025US cattle futures rise on record-low herd, tight supply - CME | The Beef Site+1.1%

After 227 past bullish report events, FCATTLE moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.

• Jan 23, 2026Cattle-on-Feed Report Shows Tighter Supply Ahead - RFD+1.5%
• Jul 20, 2026USDA Outlook Highlights Tight Cattle Supplies and Strong Beef Prices-0.2%
• Jul 27, 2021Fed cattle show strength, beef supply declines – Delco Times-2.4%
• Jul 28, 2025US cattle futures rise on record-low herd, tight supply - CME | The Beef Site+1.0%
• Jul 10, 2019Finding a Bottom Through Grains and Holiday Meat Demand | Ohio BEEF Cattle Letter-1.3%