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Natural gas futures rallied after remnants of Typhoon Halong hit western Alaska and a stratospheric warming event was forecast to bring a negative Arctic Oscillation in November. The analysis says a bearish October seasonal tendency often ends around October 22.
A forecast of colder November weather in the U.S. supports heating demand and natural gas prices, which feeds into energy and processing costs. The effect depends on whether the cold materializes.
barchart.comJim RoemerOct 22, 2025After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
