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Turkey's total grain harvest reached a record 44.8 million tons in 2026/27, up 10.5 million tons year on year, according to the Turkish Statistical Institute. Wheat output is put at 24.75 million tons and barley at 10 million tons, while corn fell slightly to 8.1 million tons.
Official figures sit well above USDA estimates, which had wheat at 23 million tons and barley at 8.8 million tons.
A larger domestic crop could cut Turkey's wheat, corn and barley import needs, reducing demand from export origins such as the Black Sea and US. The gap between official and USDA figures adds uncertainty to import forecasts, which is mildly bearish for wheat and barley export prices.
ukragroconsult.comNov 3, 2026After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
