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The USDA attaché in India projects a record 2021-22 wheat harvest on a record planting area of 34.5 million hectares and favourable weather. India's 2020-21 crop is estimated at a record 107.6 million tonnes.
A larger Indian crop raises the prospect of more wheat exports, adding bearish pressure to world wheat prices over the coming year.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.