
USDA's October WASDE raised its 2026-27 corn production estimate by 234 million bushels and soybeans by 27 million bushels versus September. The increase came as Treasury yields hit 24-year highs and Brazil's soybean planting ran ahead of schedule.
A larger U.S. corn and soybean crop adds supply to markets already carrying heavy managed-money net-long positions, pressuring futures and feed grain and meal prices. The stronger dollar and higher yields add further downside pressure on commodities.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.