Ukraine's grain exports for the 2026/27 marketing year, from July through October 30, totaled 6.48 million tons, down 29.4% year on year. Wheat exports fell 39.6% to 3.73 million tons, barley fell 55.7% to 0.48 million tons, and corn rose 27.1% to 2.19 million tons.
The Dalian corn contract closed at 2,221 RMB/ton on October 30, down 7 RMB.
Smaller Ukrainian wheat and barley shipments tighten global supply and support prices for those grains, while higher Ukrainian corn exports add to world corn supplies and weigh on corn prices.
After 431 past bullish trade events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 683 past bearish trade events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.