
Oil prices edged higher in Asian trade on Tuesday after falling sharply the previous session, as a reported U.S. strike on Iran's Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz revived supply concerns. Brent rose 0.3% to $105.4 a barrel and WTI gained 0.5% to $96.93.
The strike was reportedly part of a series of limited U.S. attacks while Iranian and Qatari-mediated talks continue.
Renewed Hormuz risk adds a geopolitical premium back into crude, which feeds energy and fertilizer costs and supports diesel and freight costs for feed ingredient supply chains. Without a durable deal, the price direction remains volatile.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.