Oil rises 2% after reports of Iranian tanker attack

After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.

• Mar 25, 2022Oil rises to over $120/bbl after attack on Saudi facilities | Reuters-11.6%
• Nov 14, 2025Oil settles up more than 2% as Russian port suspends oil exports after Ukrainian attack | Reuters+0.8%
• Mar 9, 2018US strikes three Iranian oil tankers after Iran targets US warships+1.7%
• Oct 31, 2024Oil gains more than $2 after settlement on reports Iran preparing Israel attack+4.5%
• Jun 26, 2018Oil surges as U.S. pushes allies to halt imports of Iranian crude | Reuters+6.7%

After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Mar 25, 2022Oil rises to over $120/bbl after attack on Saudi facilities | Reuters-11.4%
• Nov 14, 2025Oil settles up more than 2% as Russian port suspends oil exports after Ukrainian attack | Reuters+1.5%
• Mar 9, 2018US strikes three Iranian oil tankers after Iran targets US warships+1.0%
• Oct 31, 2024Oil gains more than $2 after settlement on reports Iran preparing Israel attack+3.9%
• Jun 26, 2018Oil surges as U.S. pushes allies to halt imports of Iranian crude | Reuters+4.4%