
Brazil's central bank chief said the country cannot rely on foreign funding in the short term. Brazil recorded a record $22.2 billion portfolio outflow in March and a further $7.3 billion outflow in April.
Foreign holdings of Brazilian bonds fell to their lowest level in April.
Capital outflows weaken the real and raise the local cost of imported feed inputs and fertilizers priced in dollars. Brazil's currency pressure can also shift export competitiveness for soy and corn.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.