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Deral projects Paraná's 2026/27 soybean output at 22.75 million tonnes, up 4% year on year, on 5.74 million hectares. 62% was planted, with 88% of planted areas in good condition.
A larger state crop with good conditions adds to supply and is mildly bearish, though weather and final planting remain uncertain.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.