The U.S. dollar and stock markets fell in the week of May 19, 2017, amid political controversy in Washington, while gold rose to a two-week high. In Brazil, President Temer faced bribery allegations that drove the real down more than 7%, which lowered prices for Brazilian soybeans and pressured U.S. soybean prices.
A weaker dollar supports U.S. commodity export competitiveness, and the Brazilian currency collapse makes Brazilian soybeans cheaper, which pressures U.S. soybean prices.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 273 past bearish macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.