
The yuan slipped against the dollar on October 18, 2021, after China's third-quarter GDP grew 4.9% year on year, slower than expected. Power shortages, supply bottlenecks and COVID-19 outbreaks weighed on growth, and property-sector credit worries added to the pressure.
Expectations of less monetary easing limited the currency's losses.
Weaker Chinese growth reduces the outlook for import demand for feed inputs, which is mildly bearish for grain and oilseed prices. A softer yuan also makes Chinese purchases of dollar-priced commodities marginally more expensive.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.