Crude oil fell to about $111 for Brent and $102 for WTI on November 2 as Iranian and Qatari officials continued talks to end the war. Brent had ended October at a six-month high.
Analysts warned of price instability after the US midterm elections.
Lower crude prices from diplomatic progress ease fuel and freight costs for feed producers. Renewed hostilities after the elections could lift prices again.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.