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Thai paddy prices have fallen below production costs, with common white paddy now under 8,000 baht per tonne and fresh high-moisture paddy at 5,000 to 6,000 baht. Thai rice export volumes have declined for ten consecutive months.
Benchmark white-rice prices for Thai supply dropped to US$372.50 per tonne, the lowest since 2017, as India resumed exports.
Renewed Indian supply has pushed global white-rice benchmarks to multi-year lows, weighing on export prices across Asia and pressuring the rice complex.
thaitimes.comNov 2, 2026After 141 past bearish trade events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -2.3% to +2.4%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
