Heatwaves and drought have hit European crops, with French vegetable output reportedly down 25% to 100% depending on crop. The French agriculture ministry estimates a 35% drop in the maize harvest versus 2025, and some dairy producers report milk yields down 10-15% from heat stress.
A sharp European maize shortfall tightens feed grain supply and supports corn and feed prices, while lower milk output may firm dairy and feed demand. The article is a general overview and does not add a new policy or trade trigger.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 32 past bullish weather events, MILK moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.4%), and +3.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.