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Drought and heat waves in southern Brazil have caused losses exceeding $9.2 billion across more than 195,000 farms, mainly in Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina and Parana. Soybean output for 2021/22 is estimated at 122.4 million tons, down 11.4% year on year, while total grain production is still forecast up 5.4%.
A roughly 11% cut in Brazilian soybean output removes meaningful supply from world markets, lifting soybean meal and corn prices and raising feed costs for buyers.
farmprogress.comJulio BravoMay 31, 2022After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
