
Mexico's central bank is expected to raise its benchmark rate by 50 basis points to 5.25 percent after the peso hit a record low following Donald Trump's election. The peso had its biggest two-day loss since 1995 and has fallen more than 6 percent since the last hike in September.
A weaker peso raises import costs and inflation in Mexico, a major buyer of U.S. feed grains and meal, which can dampen Mexican demand and pressure U.S. export prices. Tighter Mexican policy also reflects the currency stress tied to NAFTA risk.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.