
Official data show China has steadily sold US Treasurys this year, with attention on the pace of those sales. The offshore yuan touched a record low of 6.9441 per dollar on Wednesday.
The dollar index closed at 101.67, its highest since January 2003, as markets priced in a Fed rate hike in December.
A stronger dollar and a weaker yuan raise the cost of dollar-priced grain and oilseed imports for emerging-market buyers and reduce their purchasing power. Expectations of Fed tightening add to the upward pressure on the dollar, which tends to weigh on US commodity prices.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.