USDA's November WASDE raised U.S. corn production to a record 15.2 billion bushels and soybeans to a record 4.36 billion bushels, both above expectations. Corn and soybean yields were raised to 175.3 and 52.5 bushels per acre, and export forecasts for both crops increased.
Wheat estimates were largely unchanged.
Bigger-than-expected supplies and higher carryout weigh on corn and soybean futures, and cheaper feed grains and meal support lower feed costs. Wheat is largely unaffected in the U.S. report.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.