
Beijing is struggling to stop capital outflows and stabilize the yuan, as the Federal Reserve signaled possible further rate hikes next year. Uncertainty around the incoming Trump administration adds to the pressure.
Expectations of more Fed hikes and capital flight support a stronger dollar and a weaker yuan, which can weigh on Chinese import demand for feed ingredients.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.