
Capital is leaving China as economic uncertainty and a narrowing interest rate gap with the U.S. push businesses and individuals to convert yuan into foreign currency. Foreign exchange reserves have dipped below $3 trillion.
Persistent capital outflows add downward pressure on the yuan and could force tighter policy or more reserve sales. A weaker yuan can raise the dollar cost of Chinese feed imports.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.