
USDA's Cattle on Feed report showed December feedlot placements were 17.6% above a year earlier and more than twice analyst expectations. Analysts said the placements reflect herd liquidation, including heavy cow slaughter, which will add beef supply through the year.
Heavy placements point to more finished cattle reaching the market later in 2017, which weighs on fed cattle prices. Liquidation also raises near-term beef output before the herd rebuilds.
After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.