
Class III milk futures rose on the CME after USDA raised its 2016 and 2017 production estimates while still projecting firm demand. Nearby contracts gained between $0.01 and $0.15, and cash cheese and butter were mixed.
USDA lifted its 2017 all-milk price forecast to $17.60-$18.40 per cwt.
Higher USDA price forecasts despite larger production signal firmer dairy demand, supporting milk and dairy-based feed values.
After 237 past bullish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.