
ABARES-based official estimates point to a record NSW winter crop, with wheat near 11 million tonnes and strong chickpea, canola and barley output. Flooding damaged some low-lying areas but was offset by higher yields elsewhere.
Wheat and barley prices are low.
A record eastern Australian crop adds export and domestic supply, reinforcing bearish pressure on wheat and barley prices for feed buyers.
After 334 past bearish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.