
Brazil's central bank cut its benchmark Selic rate by 75 basis points to 12.25% on Wednesday, in line with market consensus. It was the fourth consecutive cut, bringing rates down from 14.25%.
The iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) fell on the news.
Lower Brazilian interest rates reduce the appeal of local-currency assets and can weaken the real, which tends to make Brazilian exports such as soybeans and meal cheaper in dollar terms and more competitive.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.