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Brazil recorded a net financial outflow of $20.8 billion in the first four months of 2024, the second-worst since records began in 1982, while the trade surplus reached $27.6 billion. The mismatch dashed hopes for a stronger real.
Capital outflows pressure the real weaker, which supports Brazilian farm export competitiveness and tends to weigh on dollar-denominated soy and corn prices.
valorinternational.globo.comArthur Cagliari, Victor RezendeMay 14, 2024After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
