
Iowa's 12 biodiesel plants produced a record 297 million gallons last year, 55 million above 2015. Speakers at the Iowa Renewable Fuels Summit said they expect President Trump to maintain a strong Renewable Fuel Standard, though the federal biodiesel tax credit has lapsed.
Strong biodiesel output supports soybean oil demand, but the lapsed tax credit may cut 2017 production, which is a bearish factor for soyoil. Expectations for RFS support provide some offset.
After 196 past neutral policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 554 past neutral policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.