
The euro fell sharply on 31 March after very soft German inflation data, while the dollar rebounded on hawkish Fed comments. Chinese manufacturing PMI rose to 51.8, its highest in almost five years, and US stocks gained.
A weaker euro and stronger dollar make dollar-priced US feed commodities more expensive for European buyers, while the firmer Chinese PMI points to steady demand from the largest feed importer.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.