
EUR/USD traded below 1.1700 on August 31 ahead of Eurozone inflation data. ECB member Nowotny said Italian budget concerns would not stop policy normalization, and Fitch was due to review Italy.
Emerging-market turmoil and Trump's China tariff plans had triggered a risk-off mood earlier in the week.
A stronger dollar amid emerging-market stress and Italian budget risk weighs on dollar-priced feed commodities and raises import costs for buyers outside the US. Effects on grain prices are modest.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.