Prolonged cold across the US Northeast drove power and gas prices higher ahead of New Year's Day. ISO New England Mass Hub on-peak power traded near $170/MWh, and Algonquin city-gate gas jumped over $2 to $18.76/MMBtu.
December Algonquin averaged $14.96/MMBtu, up 64% from the prior year.
Regional gas price spikes in the Northeast signal tight near-term supply and higher energy costs for feed mills and processors, though the effect on national benchmark prices is limited.
After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.