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March Nymex natural gas closed up 2.18% and reached a 2.5-week high as forecasts shifted colder for much of the continental US for February 16-20. Inventories as of January 31 were 4.4% below the five-year average, the lowest in over two years.
Lower-48 demand rose 28.1% year over year.
Colder forecasts and tight inventories support heating demand and keep gas prices firm, raising energy costs for feed processors.
barchart.comRich AsplundFeb 11, 2025After 221 past bullish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median +3.3% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -5.2% to +14.0%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Colder forecasts for Feb 16-20 and inventories 4.4% below average supported prices at the start of the move, though it is a smaller 2% gain.
