
Saudi Arabia reported to OPEC that it produced just over 10 million bpd in February, about 263,000 bpd more than January, signaling it would defend its market share. Brent fell about 2 percent after the report, to about $50.72 a barrel.
Higher Saudi output and a price-war signal add supply pressure, pushing crude lower and weakening energy-linked input costs.
After 210 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.