
ING analysts examine Trump's comments that the dollar is getting too strong and that he prefers low interest rates. They argue this jawboning may be more credible than earlier attempts because it links to Fed policy.
They also question whether the FOMC would follow the president's preference.
If the Fed is seen as more accommodative, the dollar could stay weaker for longer, which would support dollar-denominated commodity prices.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.