
USDA's May World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates project a cut in world wheat production for next season to the second-highest level on record, while global stocks are still projected at a record 258.3 million tonnes. Australian wheat output is forecast to fall nearly 30 percent to 25 million tonnes.
Lower projected output tightens supply somewhat, but record global stocks cap upside, so feed-grain buyers face limited near-term price pressure from this report.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 180 past bullish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.