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The EIA cut its 2018 Henry Hub natural gas price forecast to $2.88/MMBtu, down 24 cents from the prior month, citing strong domestic production growth. The agency expects $2.92/MMBtu in 2019, and the front-month contract settled at $2.88 on January 4.
A lower official price outlook reflects expected supply abundance that caps gas prices and reduces feed-cost pressure from energy-linked inputs. Production growth is the key bearish mechanism for the price outlook.
naturalgasintel.comDavid BradleyJan 9, 2018After 62 past bearish report events, Natural Gas moved a median -3.0% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -7.6% to +4.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
