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HighGround Dairy outlines how EU milk quotas ended in 2015 and EU production expanded, with the weighted average EU milk price falling over 36 percent from 2013 to 2016. Powder markets are still rebalancing as large EU stocks persist.
Heavy EU milk powder stocks and lower EU prices weigh on global dairy values and export competitiveness.
After 49 past bearish macro events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -8.5% to +0.6%), and -7.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.