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Vietnam's Ministry of Industry and Trade applied a temporary safeguard duty of about 1.9 million VND ($83.5) per tonne on certain DAP and MAP imports from August 19. The measure runs up to 200 days, ending by March 2018 or when official safeguards replace it.
A safeguard duty on imported DAP and MAP reduces Vietnam's import demand for these phosphates, which is mildly bearish for phosphate prices in the region.
After 50 past bearish policy events, DAP moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.1% to +1.6%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.