
The dollar fell on December 4, 2018, as Treasury yields slipped and the short end of the yield curve inverted, raising recession fears. Markets also read Fed Chair Powell's comments that rates were nearing neutral as a slowdown in rate hikes.
A weaker dollar and expectations of a slower Fed hiking pace support commodity prices, while recession fears limit demand growth.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.