
ABARES cut its national winter crop forecast by about 9% to 36.3 Mt, roughly 40% below the record 2016-17 harvest. North West NSW, South West Queensland and northern Western Australia may see many crops unharvested, and frost damage could reduce yields further.
A deeper cut to Australian winter grain output tightens exportable supply of wheat, barley and canola, supporting feed grain and meal prices.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.