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India's NFL urea tender on 2 September drew about 5.6 million tonnes of offers from 25 suppliers, though the figure includes short positions and double counting. Lowest offers were $462.45/t CFR east coast India and $464.70/t CFR west coast, and sentiment has shifted lower.
Parallel tenders from Dangote in Nigeria and EABC in Ethiopia are also in the market.
Heavy supplier readiness and a wide pool of origins point to a looser global urea balance into Q4, which pressures prices. The depth of the correction depends on how many Chinese tonnes are committed to India.
afriqom.comSep 4, 2025After 81 past bearish trade events, Urea moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (28% higher; middle half -7.2% to +0.4%), and -5.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
