
The Australian dollar rose to 76.66 US cents after a stronger-than-expected November jobs report (62,000 jobs versus 18,000 expected) and a Fed rate hike. The US dollar weakened against a basket of currencies after US core inflation undershot expectations.
A firmer Aussie and softer US dollar raise the cost of Australian and US feed-grain and meal exports in local terms, which can shift basis and export competitiveness for barley, sorghum and meal.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.