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Westpac analyst Frances Cheung says onshore yuan bond yields are rising amid deleveraging and inflation expectations. She expects USD/CNY to trade between 6.60 and 6.65, with the counter-cyclical factor keeping the yuan stable.
A stable yuan around 6.60 keeps the cost of dollar-priced feed imports steady for Chinese buyers. The note points to no major shift in currency-driven import demand.
After 169 past neutral macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.