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The yuan hit a 10-year low against the dollar in October 2018 and has since recovered slightly but still trades near 7 per dollar. Key 2019 drivers include trade-war negotiations, slowing Chinese growth and the path of Fed rate hikes.
Analysts see little chance of a significant yuan rally.
A weak yuan raises the cost of US feed ingredients for Chinese buyers and can curb import demand. Outcomes of the trade talks are the main swing factor for export demand in 2019.
caixinglobal.comKe BailiDec 13, 2018After 169 past neutral macro events, USDCNY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
