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Fund managers remain wary of Chinese intervention risk even after the yuan's rebound. The commentary notes Beijing's stated goal of reducing reliance on the US dollar, citing the debut of yuan-denominated oil futures in Shanghai.
Lingering doubts about yuan convertibility and intervention limit how far the currency can strengthen structurally. Any shift in its role as a reserve or pricing currency would affect dollar demand over time.
asia.nikkei.comFraser HowieMar 30, 2018After 169 past neutral macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
