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Westpac analyst Frances Cheung says the next driver for the yuan is US-China trade headlines now that the FOMC meeting is over. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin said FX was part of trade discussions, but no explicit direction on USD/CNY is expected.
Westpac expects USD/CNY to trade between 6.69 and 6.80 near term.
Expectations of a stable yuan range reduce currency-driven swings in Chinese feed import costs, leaving trade headlines as the main risk to demand.
forexcrunch.comFX StreetJan 31, 2019After 169 past neutral macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
