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TD Securities says Chinese economic data continues to decelerate rapidly with no near-term reversal expected. It expects policymakers to shift toward more aggressive monetary and fiscal responses, which could pressure the yuan.
TD has also revised its USD/CNY forecast lower while seeing near-term upside risks.
Weakening Chinese growth lowers feed demand from the largest importer, while policy easing could support the economy. The net effect on feed grain prices is unclear.
forexcrunch.comFX StreetJan 18, 2019After 169 past neutral macro events, USDCNY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
