The EIA's latest Short-Term Energy Outlook forecasts global liquid inventories will rise by only 50,000 barrels per day in 2018, down from 290,000 b/d in the November outlook. The change reflects upward revisions to Chinese consumption and lower OPEC output forecasts.
OPEC and non-OPEC producers agreed to extend output limits through the end of 2018.
A smaller inventory build supports crude and diesel prices, which raises fuel and freight costs for feed and livestock supply chains. Outlook uncertainty means prices could move either way in 2018.
After 131 past bullish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.3% to +3.4%), and +2.9% over 20.
After 116 past bullish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.0% to +3.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 22 past neutral report events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -3.5% to +2.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.